Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 8.262401 9.483276 10.841163 12.466695 14.364056 16.513841 19.141456
2024-12-29 6.885231 8.515672 10.483498 13.046188 16.314030 20.366292 25.810018
2025-01-05 5.896391 7.691740 9.989485 13.170960 17.501219 23.245595 31.536367
2025-01-12 5.128371 6.980355 9.464710 13.079705 18.269779 25.549824 36.707598
2025-01-19 4.522897 6.381825 8.977229 12.918151 18.843516 27.569696 41.671729
2025-01-26 4.216468 6.150350 8.952290 13.379398 20.331200 31.052830 49.281439
2025-02-02 3.918021 5.887165 8.836554 13.667020 21.557802 34.253630 56.875620
2025-02-09 3.722501 5.751825 8.888210 14.203308 23.220159 38.331552 66.513988
2025-02-16 3.358730 5.312665 8.413218 13.821452 23.295990 39.738421 71.633665
2025-02-23 3.089913 4.997809 8.102613 13.670626 23.732852 41.797858 78.216837
2025-03-02 2.858374 4.721129 7.825199 13.539784 24.176143 43.900954 85.167137
2025-03-09 2.640060 4.446038 7.522558 13.326836 24.433478 45.669996 91.690220
2025-03-16 2.428809 4.168196 7.195582 13.045684 24.548940 47.218581 98.094304
2025-03-23 2.368635 4.151589 7.330371 13.641016 26.438009 52.539255 113.512477
2025-03-30 2.248096 4.014267 7.230785 13.771146 27.403470 56.079301 125.537459
2025-04-06 2.109608 3.831481 7.028937 13.675254 27.884354 58.640989 135.701848
2025-04-13 1.975138 3.644945 6.803044 13.505601 28.184188 60.836051 145.343773
2025-04-20 1.927289 3.620484 6.889059 13.989989 29.968831 66.628710 165.084650
2025-04-27 1.862186 3.556467 6.890068 14.292084 31.378288 71.738772 184.008768
2025-05-04 1.827479 3.549930 7.006111 14.855438 33.459898 78.764660 209.524950
2025-05-11 1.702215 3.349334 6.703881 14.454299 33.199258 79.924428 218.680059
2025-05-18 1.609180 3.208529 6.516271 14.295871 33.511376 82.592741 232.772837
2025-05-25 1.525030 3.080171 6.345008 14.158442 33.859539 85.404469 247.862513